<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	
	>
<channel>
	<title>
	Comments on: Take the gambling out of global expansion by making decisions based on real data	</title>
	<atom:link href="https://tradeready.ca/2016/trade-takeaways/take-gambling-global-expansion-making-decisions-based-real-data/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://tradeready.ca/2016/trade-takeaways/take-gambling-global-expansion-making-decisions-based-real-data/</link>
	<description>Blog for International Trade Experts</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 09 May 2016 20:43:30 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>
	hourly	</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>
	1	</sy:updateFrequency>
	
	<item>
		<title>
		By: Brent McNiven CITP, CMC		</title>
		<link>https://tradeready.ca/2016/trade-takeaways/take-gambling-global-expansion-making-decisions-based-real-data/#comment-260</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brent McNiven CITP, CMC]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jan 2016 18:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://test.tradeready.ca/?p=17083#comment-260</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Ed – I agree with your observations and comments, and have found many of
 the same general issues in my own practice for those manufacturers 
exporting direct from Canada. 

Your suggestions on low cost entry methods will offer good value, and should be
considered by anyone seeking to export. 

I would further suggest that most of those exporting direct from Canada could benefit
by
 breaking with tradition, and adopting the new reality of doing business
 that is increasingly based on a local presence combined with a credible
 online presence.

Exporting manufactured goods from Canada is a 
sector that should be aggressively pursued, but is actually shrinking 
fast, and is much smaller than most Canadians realize. It is also facing
 strong international competition: at a recent petroleum equipment trade
 show in Mexico, the ratio of Chinese vs Canadian expositors were 19:1 
and all offering equivalent products.  The message is increasingly 
clear: you can&#039;t do it from Canada.

Integrative Trade (EDC term) 
that leverages Global Value Chains and is tracked using Trade in Value 
Add (TiVa) methods, has dominated since 2009. Over 50% of Canada&#039;s 
exports sales actually derive from foreign affiliates, and are not 
exported from Canada at all. Further, about half of Canada&#039;s exports are
 services – not goods. Note that these stats exclude commodities and 
energy exports.
 
I would like to discuss my experience exporting professional / technical services and
knowledge
 intensive manufacturing that either require significant R&#038;D (= 
client  relationship) or incorporate a lot of electronics and software.

In my practice I have found that the most effective method for market entry, for any
good
 and especially for services, is to first establish a local division 
(Foreign Affiliate), and use that base to develop sales. 

This is based on the need to meet at least two of the following three requirements: 

1) Many (most?) customers demand that suppliers are located close by, or at least

	provide in country service and support, particularly with products that
 involve R&#038;D, computers / software or are fussy and require ongoing 
calibration (which is why Magna has 28 plants in Mexico).
	
	2) Services as knowledge products usually require that we move people as they are

	the repositories of that IP and knowledge, however obtaining visas are 
difficult to impossible, and therefore selling services now demands 
establishing foreign affiliates and transferring IP / knowledge to them.
 For example, we have found it nearly impossible to provide engineering 
services in Brazil, but Mexico with NAFTA is a great place to work.

3)
 Agility as you mentioned is key, but agility depends on obtaining real 
time, in depth local knowledge that will allow immediate identification 
and response to customers needs, changing trends and being able to adapt
 / develop / deliver the right product. Agility also depends strongly on
 using all 4 scaling methods and not just depending on growth. This is 
very difficult to accomplish without a bespoke local office (not an 
agent !).

Obviously opening an office requires that the firm 
first establish that sufficient potential market exists before 
committing to the expense, but we are talking of “significant” potential
 that can be identified relatively easily using the well proven methods 
you suggested.

Few firms will consider opening a local office as 
the first step. As you pointed out, most will follow a client, or based 
on research chase an opportunity, and I agree that most of these 
companies will make some spectacular and fully avoidable errors on the 
way. But, experience has demonstrated that putting the cart before the 
horse is often much less expensive, lower risk and can ramp up success 
much faster.

My approach is based on my experience as an agent and distributor (I lived / worked
/
 ran businesses in 4 countries in Latin America), and have established 
international networks of agents, distributors and licensed IP for 
various clients. In addition, I have opened +/- operated over a dozen 
divisions in 6 countries.

I suggest that after researching markets, instead of trying to manage that market from
afar,
 that the firm open a small office in the target market, staff it with a
 person with a proven track record in facing equivalent challenges, 
opening new markets and with an extensive and intimate knowledge of the 
local market. In other words, leave the Canadians at home, and give the 
local manager the needed autonomy.

The cost of opening and operating a local office can be surprisingly low – and be
extremely effective.

For
 several clients, the cost of maintaining a technical sales team to 
build and maintain client relationships was prohibitive. In fact, for 
20% less than the annual cost of one sales rep selling in 4 countries, I
 could have opened and operated 4 local offices, and provided 24/7 
service and support to customers. One example of  effectiveness was 
where $35,000 investment resulted in over US$2M in annual sales with 
margins of 55%, within 18 months of opening.

Building 
relationships are key, and a local rep can go golfing, and usually has 
extensive university, family and social connections (not to mention the 
critical opportunity to share beverages). It should be noted that this 
office need not (initially) be more than a sales / support and 
intelligence unit, and as such is cheap and cheerful.

Some stats to demonstrate the value of foreign affiliates and establishing Global
Value Chains:

Exports
 of manufactured goods from Canada are down about 5% since 1990, and 
down around 7% since 2000, whereas growth from foreign affiliates are up
 20% for manufactured goods (04/13), and 86% for services (04/13). 

Just
 between 2000/09 we lost over 20,000 manufacturing firms and 500,000 
jobs – while services foreign affiliates added over 200,000 positions 
(none of which were in Canada).

Services now account for about 
50% of Canada&#039;s international trade (since 2008), and that agrees with 
the WTO reports that just over 50% of world trade is now
in services (mainly financial, insurance, freight etc). 

The EDC reports indicate that over 50% of Canada&#039;s exports no longer come from
Canada:
 they derive from Foreign Affiliate sales to local customers in the host
 country, or (usually) within the FTA of the host country. Because they 
are sold by Canadian divisions they count as Canadian
exports.

Sales by foreign affiliates have grown from about 10% of GDP in 1993 to about 40%
today.
 Of this 40%, just under half is in manufactured goods, ICT, and 
professional / technical services, and the balance is financial services
 (Scotia, RBC et al are the big players).

Further, sales in services by foreign affiliates are now double that of services
exported direct from Canada. 

We
 have about 40,000 exporters in Canada (out of about a million potential
 exporters: Statscan), and while growing at about 17% (04/13), they are 
being
outsold by a few thousand foreign affiliates that have 
demonstrated 39% growth over the same period (and recall that goods 
sales decreased by about 7% during this same period, clearly 
demonstrating the sharp growth in services).

Bottom line is that 
while exporting goods direct from Canada is increasingly competitive and
 specialized, the trend towards establishing integrated Global
Value 
Chains, tapping into real time local knowledge and developing an agile 
response, has probably been the single most powerful factor in driving 
export growth. 

More firms should be looking to break with 
tradition, and consider opening a local office as their first step, but 
at the same time, not ignore the low cost and proven methods of market 
intelligence and establishing an online presence.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ed – I agree with your observations and comments, and have found many of<br />
 the same general issues in my own practice for those manufacturers<br />
exporting direct from Canada. </p>
<p>Your suggestions on low cost entry methods will offer good value, and should be<br />
considered by anyone seeking to export. </p>
<p>I would further suggest that most of those exporting direct from Canada could benefit<br />
by<br />
 breaking with tradition, and adopting the new reality of doing business<br />
 that is increasingly based on a local presence combined with a credible<br />
 online presence.</p>
<p>Exporting manufactured goods from Canada is a<br />
sector that should be aggressively pursued, but is actually shrinking<br />
fast, and is much smaller than most Canadians realize. It is also facing<br />
 strong international competition: at a recent petroleum equipment trade<br />
 show in Mexico, the ratio of Chinese vs Canadian expositors were 19:1<br />
and all offering equivalent products.  The message is increasingly<br />
clear: you can&#8217;t do it from Canada.</p>
<p>Integrative Trade (EDC term)<br />
that leverages Global Value Chains and is tracked using Trade in Value<br />
Add (TiVa) methods, has dominated since 2009. Over 50% of Canada&#8217;s<br />
exports sales actually derive from foreign affiliates, and are not<br />
exported from Canada at all. Further, about half of Canada&#8217;s exports are<br />
 services – not goods. Note that these stats exclude commodities and<br />
energy exports.</p>
<p>I would like to discuss my experience exporting professional / technical services and<br />
knowledge<br />
 intensive manufacturing that either require significant R&amp;D (=<br />
client  relationship) or incorporate a lot of electronics and software.</p>
<p>In my practice I have found that the most effective method for market entry, for any<br />
good<br />
 and especially for services, is to first establish a local division<br />
(Foreign Affiliate), and use that base to develop sales. </p>
<p>This is based on the need to meet at least two of the following three requirements: </p>
<p>1) Many (most?) customers demand that suppliers are located close by, or at least</p>
<p>	provide in country service and support, particularly with products that<br />
 involve R&amp;D, computers / software or are fussy and require ongoing<br />
calibration (which is why Magna has 28 plants in Mexico).</p>
<p>	2) Services as knowledge products usually require that we move people as they are</p>
<p>	the repositories of that IP and knowledge, however obtaining visas are<br />
difficult to impossible, and therefore selling services now demands<br />
establishing foreign affiliates and transferring IP / knowledge to them.<br />
 For example, we have found it nearly impossible to provide engineering<br />
services in Brazil, but Mexico with NAFTA is a great place to work.</p>
<p>3)<br />
 Agility as you mentioned is key, but agility depends on obtaining real<br />
time, in depth local knowledge that will allow immediate identification<br />
and response to customers needs, changing trends and being able to adapt<br />
 / develop / deliver the right product. Agility also depends strongly on<br />
 using all 4 scaling methods and not just depending on growth. This is<br />
very difficult to accomplish without a bespoke local office (not an<br />
agent !).</p>
<p>Obviously opening an office requires that the firm<br />
first establish that sufficient potential market exists before<br />
committing to the expense, but we are talking of “significant” potential<br />
 that can be identified relatively easily using the well proven methods<br />
you suggested.</p>
<p>Few firms will consider opening a local office as<br />
the first step. As you pointed out, most will follow a client, or based<br />
on research chase an opportunity, and I agree that most of these<br />
companies will make some spectacular and fully avoidable errors on the<br />
way. But, experience has demonstrated that putting the cart before the<br />
horse is often much less expensive, lower risk and can ramp up success<br />
much faster.</p>
<p>My approach is based on my experience as an agent and distributor (I lived / worked<br />
/<br />
 ran businesses in 4 countries in Latin America), and have established<br />
international networks of agents, distributors and licensed IP for<br />
various clients. In addition, I have opened +/- operated over a dozen<br />
divisions in 6 countries.</p>
<p>I suggest that after researching markets, instead of trying to manage that market from<br />
afar,<br />
 that the firm open a small office in the target market, staff it with a<br />
 person with a proven track record in facing equivalent challenges,<br />
opening new markets and with an extensive and intimate knowledge of the<br />
local market. In other words, leave the Canadians at home, and give the<br />
local manager the needed autonomy.</p>
<p>The cost of opening and operating a local office can be surprisingly low – and be<br />
extremely effective.</p>
<p>For<br />
 several clients, the cost of maintaining a technical sales team to<br />
build and maintain client relationships was prohibitive. In fact, for<br />
20% less than the annual cost of one sales rep selling in 4 countries, I<br />
 could have opened and operated 4 local offices, and provided 24/7<br />
service and support to customers. One example of  effectiveness was<br />
where $35,000 investment resulted in over US$2M in annual sales with<br />
margins of 55%, within 18 months of opening.</p>
<p>Building<br />
relationships are key, and a local rep can go golfing, and usually has<br />
extensive university, family and social connections (not to mention the<br />
critical opportunity to share beverages). It should be noted that this<br />
office need not (initially) be more than a sales / support and<br />
intelligence unit, and as such is cheap and cheerful.</p>
<p>Some stats to demonstrate the value of foreign affiliates and establishing Global<br />
Value Chains:</p>
<p>Exports<br />
 of manufactured goods from Canada are down about 5% since 1990, and<br />
down around 7% since 2000, whereas growth from foreign affiliates are up<br />
 20% for manufactured goods (04/13), and 86% for services (04/13). </p>
<p>Just<br />
 between 2000/09 we lost over 20,000 manufacturing firms and 500,000<br />
jobs – while services foreign affiliates added over 200,000 positions<br />
(none of which were in Canada).</p>
<p>Services now account for about<br />
50% of Canada&#8217;s international trade (since 2008), and that agrees with<br />
the WTO reports that just over 50% of world trade is now<br />
in services (mainly financial, insurance, freight etc). </p>
<p>The EDC reports indicate that over 50% of Canada&#8217;s exports no longer come from<br />
Canada:<br />
 they derive from Foreign Affiliate sales to local customers in the host<br />
 country, or (usually) within the FTA of the host country. Because they<br />
are sold by Canadian divisions they count as Canadian<br />
exports.</p>
<p>Sales by foreign affiliates have grown from about 10% of GDP in 1993 to about 40%<br />
today.<br />
 Of this 40%, just under half is in manufactured goods, ICT, and<br />
professional / technical services, and the balance is financial services<br />
 (Scotia, RBC et al are the big players).</p>
<p>Further, sales in services by foreign affiliates are now double that of services<br />
exported direct from Canada. </p>
<p>We<br />
 have about 40,000 exporters in Canada (out of about a million potential<br />
 exporters: Statscan), and while growing at about 17% (04/13), they are<br />
being<br />
outsold by a few thousand foreign affiliates that have<br />
demonstrated 39% growth over the same period (and recall that goods<br />
sales decreased by about 7% during this same period, clearly<br />
demonstrating the sharp growth in services).</p>
<p>Bottom line is that<br />
while exporting goods direct from Canada is increasingly competitive and<br />
 specialized, the trend towards establishing integrated Global<br />
Value<br />
Chains, tapping into real time local knowledge and developing an agile<br />
response, has probably been the single most powerful factor in driving<br />
export growth. </p>
<p>More firms should be looking to break with<br />
tradition, and consider opening a local office as their first step, but<br />
at the same time, not ignore the low cost and proven methods of market<br />
intelligence and establishing an online presence.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
